Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz

A Skill Assessment Framework for the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project

Nina Rynne, Camilla Novaglio, Julia L. Blanchard, Daniele Bianchi et autres

Abstract Understanding climate change impacts on global marine ecosystems and fisheries requires complex marine ecosystem models, forced by global climate projections, that can robustly detect and project changes. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) uses an ensemble modeling approach …

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Global and Regional Marine Ecosystem Models Reveal Key Uncertainties in Climate Change Projections

Tyler D. Eddy, Ryan Heneghan, Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Elizabeth A. Fulton et autres

Abstract Climate change is affecting ocean temperature, acidity, currents, and primary production, causing shifts in species distributions, marine ecosystems, and ultimately fisheries. Earth system models simulate climate change impacts on physical and biogeochemical properties of future oceans under varying emissions scenarios. Coupling …

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Developing a Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble to Assess Climate Risks and Uncertainties

Kieran J. Murphy, Denisse Fierro‐Arcos, Tyler Weaver Rohr, David B. Green et autres

Abstract Climate change could irreversibly modify Southern Ocean ecosystems. Marine ecosystem model (MEM) ensembles can assist policy making by projecting future changes and allowing the evaluation and assessment of alternative management approaches. However, projected changes in total consumer biomass from the Fisheries …

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An Integrated Global‐To‐Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems

Kelly Ortega‐Cisneros, Denisse Fierro‐Arcos, Max Lindmark, Camilla Novaglio et autres

Abstract As the urgency to evaluate the impacts of climate change on marine ecosystems increases, there is a need to develop robust projections and improve the uptake of ecosystem model outputs in policy and planning. Standardizing input and output data is a …

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Assessing indirect biodiversity conservation benefits of fisheries closures in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, Canada

Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Tyler D. Eddy, Jonathan A. D. Fisher

Marine biodiversity loss is a pressing global issue, intensified by human activities and climate change. Complementary to marine protected areas (MPAs), Other Effective Area-Based Conservation Measures (OECMs) have emerged as a key tool to mitigate this loss by providing long-term biodiversity protection. …

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Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.0

Julia L. Blanchard, Camilla Novaglio, Olivier Maury, Cheryl Shannon Harrison et autres

Abstract There is an urgent need for models that can robustly detect past and project future ecosystem changes and risks to the services that they provide to people. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) was established to develop model …

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Exploring novel North Water Polynya ecosystems under climate change

Elizabeth R. Gillie, Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Stephen G. Willis, Tyler D. Eddy

Climate change is rapidly reshaping species distributions in the Arctic, which could profoundly impact ecosystem structure and function. While considerable effort has focused on projecting future species distributions, assessing the impacts of range-shifting species on recipient communities and subsequent disruptions to food …

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The Past and Future of the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project

Camilla Novaglio, Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Derek P. Tittensor, Tyler D. Eddy et autres

Abstract Climate change is increasingly affecting the world's ocean ecosystems, necessitating urgent guidance on adaptation strategies to limit or prevent catastrophic impacts. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) is a network and framework that provides standardised ensemble projections of …

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Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean

Julia G. Mason, Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes, Renuka Badhe et autres

Abstract Emerging fishing activity due to melting ice and poleward species distribution shifts in the rapidly‐warming Arctic Ocean challenges transboundary management and requires proactive governance. A 2021 moratorium on commercial fishing in the Arctic high seas provides a 16‐year runway for improved …

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Accepting uncertainty in sustainable fisheries is essential in a rapidly changing Arctic

Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz

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Ecosystem structure and function of the North Water Polynya

Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Jennifer L. Herbig, Gérald Darnis, Maxime Geoffroy et autres

The North Water Polynya is one of the most productive Arctic regions on Earth, sustaining the world's northernmost Inuit communities for millennia. The polynya is a large and persistent region of open water surrounded by sea ice and exhibits high primary productivity, …

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Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean

Julia G. Mason, Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz, Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes, Renuka Badhe et autres

Variation and disagreement in marine ecosystem model projections are too high to

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