Time-Averaged Hematuria as a Prognostic Indicator of Renal Outcome in Patients with IgA Nephropathy

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We aim to investigate the association of time-averaged hematuria (TA-hematuria) with the progression of IgA nephropathy (IgAN). Based on TA-hematuria during follow-up, 152 patients with IgAN were divided into a hematuria remission group (≤28 red blood cells [RBCs]/μL) and a persistent hematuria group (>28 RBCs/μL). The persistent hematuria group had a higher percentage of patients with macroscopic hematuria, lower levels of hemoglobin and TA-serum albumin, and more severe renal pathologic lesions. The composite endpoint is defined as a doubling of the baseline SCr level (D-SCr), or the presence of ESRD. During the mean follow-up of 58.08 ± 23.51 months, 15 patients (9.9%) reached the primary outcome of ESRD and 19 patients (12.5%) reached the combined renal endpoint. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the persistent hematuria group had a lower renal survival rate. The persistent hematuria patients who were incorporated with proteinuria (≥1.0 g/day) and low TA-serum albumin (<40 g/L) had the worst renal outcomes. Multivariate Cox regression indicated that TA-hematuria (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.004, 95% CI: 0.001, 0.008; p = 0.010) was independently associated with the progression of IgAN. Receiver operating characteristic analysis indicated the optimal TA-hematuria cutoff value for predicting the progression of IgAN was 201.21 RBCs/μL in females and 37.25 RBCs/μL in males.

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