Joshua Looker

The covariance matrix of metapopulation disease models and applications to early warning signals

Joshua Looker, Kat S. Rock, Louise Dyson

ABSTRACT Infectious disease time series often show signs of epidemic transitions, such as the peaks and troughs of the time series. In these time series, key system parameters can lead to catastrophic changes in the dynamical system behaviour (often called critical transitions). …

gb (code pays fourni par la source)

joshlooks/covariance-matrix: preprint

Joshua Looker

No description provided.

joshlooks/covariance-matrix: preprint

Joshua Looker

No description provided.

joshlooks/non-stationary-ews: pre

Joshua Looker

No description provided.

joshlooks/non-stationary-ews: pre

Joshua Looker

No description provided.

Critical-like growth in non-critical transitions: linearised dynamics and epidemic applications

Joshua Looker, Kat S. Rock, Louise Dyson

In the wake of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, there has been heightened interest from applied mathematicians in infectious disease modelling. Modelling efforts often focus on predicting whether diseases are likely to be eliminated or, instead, (re-)emerge, especially as a result of control measures. …

Critical-like growth in non-critical transitions: linearised dynamics and epidemic applications

Joshua Looker, Kat S. Rock, Louise Dyson

In the wake of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, there has been heightened interest from applied mathematicians in infectious disease modelling. Modelling efforts often focus on predicting whether diseases are likely to be eliminated or, instead, (re-)emerge, especially as a result of control measures. …

gb (code pays fourni par la source)

Identifying COVID-19 peaks using early warning signals

Joshua Looker, Kat S. Rock, Louise Dyson

The SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic has had catastrophic effects on public health and economies. Around the world, many countries employed modelling efforts to help guide pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical measures designed to reduce the spread of the virus. Modelling efforts for future pandemics could …

gb (code pays fourni par la source)

Introducing a framework for within-host dynamics and mutations modelling of H5N1 influenza infection in humans

Daniel P Higgins, Joshua Looker, Robert Sunnucks, Jonathan Carruthers et autres

Avian influenza A(H5N1) poses a public health risk due to its pandemic potential should the virus mutate to become human-to-human transmissible. To date, reported influenza A(H5N1) human cases have typically occurred in the lower respiratory tract with a high case fatality rate. …

gb, us (code pays fourni par la source)

Identifying COVID-19 peaks using early warning signals

Joshua Looker, Kat S. Rock, Louise Dyson

Abstract The SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic has had catastrophic effects on public health and economies. Around the world, many countries employed modelling efforts to help guide pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical measures designed to reduce the spread of the virus. Modelling efforts for future pandemics …

gb (code pays fourni par la source)

Introducing a framework for within-host dynamics and mutations modelling of H5N1 influenza infection in humans

Daniel P Higgins, Joshua Looker, Robert Sunnucks, Jonathan Carruthers et autres

Abstract Avian influenza A(H5N1) poses a public health risk due to its pandemic potential should the virus mutate to become human-to-human transmissible. To date, reported influenza A(H5N1) human cases have typically occurred in the lower respiratory tract with a high case fatality …

gb (code pays fourni par la source)