Constantin Ardilouze

Assessing the effect of land cover on ISBA snow water equivalent and land surface temperature simulations over Europe

Oscar Javier Rojas Muñoz, Constantin Ardilouze, Bertrand Bonan, Diane Tzanos et autres

An accurate representation of the land surface is essential for simulating the exchange of energy, water and carbon between the land and the atmosphere. This study evaluates the impact of land cover (LC) representation on snow simulations in the Interactions Between Soil, …

fr, gb, be, at, Maroc (code pays fourni par la source)

Perfect model estimates of seasonal forecast skill

Damien Specq, Constantin Ardilouze, Lauriane Batté

Abstract The skill of seasonal forecasts of midlatitude atmospheric circulation is notoriously intermittent and might be modest on average. The use of seasonal forecasts for real‐time applications can therefore benefit greatly from approaches providing an a priori indication of how skillful a …

fr (code pays fourni par la source)

The new Météo-France climate prediction system 9 for seasonal and subseasonal forecasting

Damien Specq, Jonathan Beuvier, Laurent Dorel, Fousiya T S et autres

fr (code pays fourni par la source)

Comment on egusphere-2026-65

Oscar Rojas-Munoz, Constantin Ardilouze, Bertrand Bonan, Diane Tzanos et autres

Abstract. An accurate representation of the land surface is essential for simulating the exchange of energy, water and carbon between the land and the atmosphere. This study evaluates the impact of land cover representation on snow simulations in the Interactions Between Soil, …

fr, gb, be, at (code pays fourni par la source)

Surface Soil Moisture–Vegetation Feedbacks in Water-Limited Regions across Land Surface Models

Andrea Alessandri, Marco Possega, Annalisa Cherchi, Emanuele Di Carlo et autres

Soil moisture plays a critical role in water-limited regions through its strong coupling and feedbacks with vegetation. However, state-of-the-art Land Surface Models (LSMs) used in reanalysis and near-term prediction systems still lack a realistic coupling of vegetation, limiting their ability to properly …

it, gb, fr, nl (code pays fourni par la source)

Seasonal Predictions and Their Applications in the Mediterranean Region: Part II—Prediction‐Based Services

Silvio Gualdi, Ernesto Rodríguez Camino, Estéban Rodríguez Guisado, Andrea Toreti et autres

ABSTRACT This review paper examines the development and application of climate predictions, primarily at seasonal timescales, as actionable information for decision‐making, with a specific focus on the Mediterranean region. It illustrates and analyses the steps required to transform climate model probabilistic forecasts …

it, es, fr, Maroc, de (code pays fourni par la source)

Comment on egusphere-2026-65

Oscar Rojas-Munoz, Constantin Ardilouze, Bertrand Bonan, Diane Tzanos et autres

Abstract. An accurate representation of the land surface is essential for simulating the exchange of energy, water and carbon between the land and the atmosphere. This study evaluates the impact of land cover representation on snow simulations in the Interactions Between Soil, …

fr, gb, be, at (code pays fourni par la source)

Seasonal Predictions and Their Applications in the Mediterranean Region: Part I—Sources of Predictability and Prediction Skill

Gualdi Silvio, Javier García‐Serrano, Constantin Ardilouze, Silvia Terzago et autres

ABSTRACT The capability to predict climate fluctuations from sub–seasonal–to–decadal timescales would yield large and significant socio–economic benefits. On the other hand, our limited understanding of the mechanisms and processes responsible for predictability and systematic model errors hampers our ability to simulate and …

it, es, fr, Maroc, de (code pays fourni par la source)

Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes

Onaïa Savary, Constantin Ardilouze, Julien Cattiaux

European droughts have far-reaching socio-economic and ecological impacts, yet their prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay between large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and local thermodynamic processes. This study investigates how persistent North Atlantic weather regimes influence the occurrence and spatial distribution …

fr, Maroc (code pays fourni par la source)

Supplementary material to "Assessing the effect of land cover on ISBA snow water equivalent simulations over Europe"

Oscar Rojas-Munoz, Constantin Ardilouze, Bertrand Bonan, Diane Tzanos et autres

Assessing the effect of land cover on ISBA snow water equivalent simulations over Europe

Oscar Rojas-Munoz, Constantin Ardilouze, Bertrand Bonan, Diane Tzanos et autres

Abstract. An accurate representation of the land surface is essential for simulating the exchange of energy, water and carbon between the land and the atmosphere. This study evaluates the impact of land cover representation on snow simulations in the Interactions Between Soil, …

fr, gb, be, at (code pays fourni par la source)

Impact of leaf area index assimilation on the ISBA-CTRIP global hydrological simulations

Gabriel Narváez-Campo, Constantin Ardilouze, Oscar Rojas-Munoz, Simon Munier et autres