Time-Dependent Changes in NLR, PLR, SII, and SIRI During Intraoperative Cardiopulmonary Bypass in CABG Patients and Their Association with In-Hospital Mortality

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Background: Systemic inflammation plays a central role in determining postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting with cardiopulmonary bypass. Traditional inflammatory indices such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio have prognostic value; however, their dynamic behavior during cardiopulmonary bypass remains insufficiently characterized. More comprehensive indices, including the systemic immune-inflammation index and the systemic inflammatory response index, may help characterize early intraoperative inflammatory activity; however, their prognostic relevance should be regarded as exploratory and requires prospective validation. Methods: This retrospective nested case–control study included 245 patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting, and intraoperative inflammatory indices during cardiopulmonary bypass were evaluated. Because of the nested case–control design, mortality cases were intentionally overrepresented to improve statistical power; therefore, the observed mortality rate does not reflect the true institutional mortality rate. Inflammatory indices (NLR, PLR, SII, and SIRI) were calculated at induction, at the 5th, 45th, and 90th minutes during cardiopulmonary bypass, and in the early postoperative period. Associations between these indices and in-hospital mortality were evaluated using univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses. Predictive performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and the area under the curve (AUC). Results: The final enriched analytical sample consisted of 51 mortality cases and 194 randomly sampled surviving controls. During cardiopulmonary bypass, inflammatory indices, particularly at the 5th minute, were significantly higher in patients who experienced mortality (p < 0.001 for all major indices). SII demonstrated the strongest predictive performance at the 5th minute (AUC = 0.790), followed by SIRI (AUC = 0.765), PLR (AUC = 0.687), and NLR (AUC = 0.681). In multivariable analysis, SII and SIRI measured at the 5th minute remained independent predictors of mortality. The addition of 5th-minute SII to the limited study-specific clinical model, which included age, ejection fraction, and preoperative creatinine, improved exploratory discrimination for in-hospital mortality (with AUC increasing from 0.698 to 0.797). Conclusions: Early intraoperative assessment of inflammatory indices during cardiopulmonary bypass may provide additional prognostic information in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting. Composite indices, particularly SII and SIRI, showed stronger exploratory discrimination than traditional inflammatory markers in this enriched analytical sample. However, these findings should be considered hypothesis-generating and require prospective external validation before use in perioperative risk stratification or clinical decision-making can be recommended.

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