IMPACT OF INPUT VARIANCE ON POPULATION-BASED MICROSIMULATION RESULTS

Le résumé fourni par la source

Population-based microsimulations often incorporate multiple data sources and modeling techniques. Results from these complex models should include uncertainty from model inputs. This work examines the confidence of reported results from population-based microsimulations using the Future Elderly Model, a dynamic microsimulation that forecasts health and economic outcomes for middle age and older adults. The primary objective is to determine whether systematic inclusion of uncertainty will disrupt the policy conclusions obtained from population-based microsimulation results.

Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.