Francisco Ceballos

Better alone? Assessing women empowerment after a family member migrates

Francisco Ceballos, Ana Sofía Domínguez, Jessica Heckert, Manuel A. Hernandez et autres

This study explores how household migration—domestic or international—affects women’s empowerment in Honduras. Using panel data from 1,209 households collected over three years (2023–2025), we implement two main approaches: (i) a between-household comparison using endline cross-sectional data, relying on three alternative strategies to …

Out-of-sample validation of the external and internal Migration Propensity Index (MPI) in Honduras

Francisco Ceballos, Manuel A. Hernandez

The external and internal Migration Propensity Indices (e-MPI and i-MPI) are tools to objectively estimate the probability that individuals from a given household will, respectively, migrate abroad or migrate domestically in the near future. We use new longitudinal data to test their …

Bridging the information gap: How Munda Makeover is transforming agricultural learning in Zambia

Antonate Akinyi Owuor, Berber Kramer, Francisco Ceballos, Kingsley Sambo

This project note presents midline findings regarding the effects of Munda Makeover (MMO), a farm makeover TV show designed to disseminate agricultural knowledge to Zambian farmers in an entertaining way. IFPRI and partners designed and implemented a cluster randomized trial across 160 …

Price and Volatility Transmission From International to Domestic Food and Fertilizer Markets in Central America

Manuel A. Hernandez, Francisco Ceballos, Maria Lucia Berrospi, Viviana Maria Eugenia Perego et autres

ABSTRACT Recent global shocks have triggered sharp spikes in international food and fertilizer prices, raising concerns about their domestic impacts. This study examines the extent to which international price levels and volatility are transmitted to domestic food and fertilizer markets in seven …

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Presentations for Mobility in a Fragile World: Evidence to Inform Policy

Anna Maria Mayda, Silvia Peracchi, Francisco Ceballos, Thomas Ginn et autres

Migration today reflects a complex interplay of demographic pressures, conflict, poverty, climate change, and economic shocks. Worldwide, one in every seven people is a migrant—that is, someone who changes his or her country of usual residence, irrespective of the reason for migration—or …

Agricultural insurance: Policies and programs for reducing farmer risk

Francisco Ceballos, Peter B. R. Hazell, Ruth Elaine Hill, Berber Kramer

Farm households face many market and production risks to their livelihoods, food security, and economic well-being. Agricultural insurance is intended to help protect households from risk, but many agricultural risks are difficult to insure against and demand for insurance products remains low. …

How do food and fertilizer price spikes and volatility impact Central America and the Caribbean?

Manuel A. Hernandez, Francisco Ceballos, Maria Lucia Berrospi

Recurring spikes and high volatility in international food and fertilizer prices (Figure 1) have triggered economic impacts around the world over the past two decades. These major shocks include the global food price crises of 2007-2008 and 2010-2011, the market disruptions of …

Picture-based crop insurance: A randomized controlled trial evaluating the impacts of using smartphone camera data for claims verification in India

Francisco Ceballos, Pushkar Gaur, Samyuktha Kannan, Berber Kramer

Exposure to weather hazards, pests, crop diseases, and climate change threaten the livelihoods of many smallholder farmers in low- and middle-income countries. A lack of agricultural insurance has severe financial consequences for farmers in the aftermath of shocks; however, even in uneventful …

Picture-based crop insurance: Using smartphone camera data for claims verification in India

Francisco Ceballos, Pushkar Gaur, Monali Gupta, Samyuktha Kannan et autres

This brief discusses the findings of an impact evaluation of a picture-based crop insurance scheme that uses smartphone camera data for claims verification in India. 3ie initially received funding for the Agricultural Insurance Evidence Program from UK aid through the Department for …

Migration and empowerment: Data from a follow-up survey among a sample of households in western Honduras

Francisco Ceballos, Jessica Heckert, Manuel A. Hernandez, Florencia Paz

This data paper documents migration and empowerment indicators from a two-round survey conducted in Western Honduras as part of a study validating the Migration Propensity Index (MPI). The baseline survey (May–June 2023) reached 1,209 households across six departments, using a multi-stage cluster …

Its Showtime! Evaluating the Effect of TV Programming on Agricultural Productivity in Rural Zambia

Jonathan Robinson, Shilpa Aggarwal, Francisco Ceballos, Berber Kramer

Its Showtime! Evaluating the Effect of TV Programming on Agricultural Productivity in Rural Zambia

Jonathan Robinson, Shilpa Aggarwal, Francisco Ceballos, Berber Kramer