Ajay Gambhir

From frameworks to implementation: addressing systemic risk in the real world

Ajay Gambhir, Sarah Hendel-Blackford

Abstract There has been a surge in interest in the term “systemic risk” over recent years. Systemic risk compels a consideration of how risks actively interact with each-other, where local risk can propagate through networked effects to create new risks, exacerbate existing …

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The seventh carbon budget inquiry

Cait Hewitt, Rosie Allen, Ajay Gambhir, Neil Jennings et autres

We welcome the Climate Change Committee (CCC)’s recommendations on the 7th carbon budget. Our submission assesses key assumptions, technology choices, and economic implications and finds the CCC's approach to reasonable and well-evidenced.

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The challenge with climate-energy-economy models in constructing fair and equitable climate futures

Alexandros Nikas, Jon Sampedro, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Iñaki Arto et autres

Climate change and policy are unevenly experienced across nations, social groups, households, sectors, and generations. Understanding how benefits and burdens of climate action can be equitably shared is therefore critical. While the cornerstone concept of ‘common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities’ …

New crises, new meanings and actions: Linking technical-scientific discourse to local knowledge and adaptation in a Brazilian urban periphery through participatory research

Leandro Luiz Giatti, L. Musumeci, Luciana Maciel Bizzotto, Yorman Paredes-Marquez et autres

The urgency of building systemic risk capacity in a polycrisis world

Ajay Gambhir, Sarah Hendel-Blackford, Michael J. Albert, Hanna Asipovich et autres

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Artificial intelligence drives divergent emission futures

Hamish Beath, Shivika Mittal, Ajay Gambhir, Samira Barzin et autres

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Principles for just and effective systemic risk governance

Ruth Richardson, Sarah Hendel-Blackford, Lorenzo Benini, Jonathan F. Donges et autres

Abstract Non-Technical Summary We are in a polycrisis – the entanglement of crises across multiple, interconnected global systems such as climate, health, and finance – that interact to produce harms significantly greater than the sum of their parts. We propose that, to …

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Navigating the unexpected: The impact of disruptive events on mitigation scenarios

Alaa Al Khourdajie, Ajay Gambhir, Ilkka Keppo, Natasha Frilingou et autres

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A systemic risk assessment methodological framework for the global polycrisis

Ajay Gambhir, Michael J. Albert, Sylvanus S. P. Doe, Jonathan F. Donges et autres

Human societies and ecological systems face increasingly severe risks, stemming from crossing planetary boundaries, worsening inequality, rising geo-political tensions, and new technologies. In an interconnected world, these risks can exacerbate each-other, creating systemic risks, which must be thoroughly assessed and responded to. …

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Navigating the unexpected: The impact of disruptive events on mitigation scenarios

Alaa Al Khourdajie, Alexandros Nikas, Natasha Frilingou, Shivika Mittal et autres

Climate change mitigation strategies face disruption from multiple sources: extreme climate events, socioeconomic crises, geopolitical conflicts, technological breakthroughs, as well as the abrupt transitions and disruptive actions entailed by achieving the stringent Paris Agreement goals. While these disruptive events can fundamentally alter …

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Energy and socioeconomic system transformation through a decade of IPCC-assessed scenarios

Dirk-Jan Van de Ven, Shivika Mittal, Alexandros Nikas, Georgios Xexakis et autres

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Navigating systemic risks in low-carbon energy transitions in an era of global polycrisis

Ashwin K Seshadri, Ajay Gambhir, Ramit Debnath

Abstract Non-technical summary Accelerating global systemic risks impel as well as threaten low-carbon energy transitions. Polycrises can undermine low-carbon transitions, and the breakdown of low-carbon energy transitions has the potential to intensify polycrises. Identifying the systemic risks facing low-carbon transitions is critical, …

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