Heiko Goelzer

Mass balance of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets from the 1970s to 2023

Inès Otosaka, Andrew Shepherd, Charles Amory, Martin Horwath et autres

The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are major drivers of global mean sea level rise and are predicted to continue to do so in the future. However, they also represent the largest source of uncertainty in projections of future sea level rise …

gb, fr, de, us, dk, ca, nl, it, be, no, in, se, es, kr (code pays fourni par la source)

High-impact climate events and tipping dynamics: assessing scientific understanding and future challenges

Gabriele C. Hegerl, Sabina Abba Omar, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Annett Bartsch et autres

This paper is motivated by growing concern about tipping dynamics and processes that can cause abrupt, self-amplifying, and irreversible changes across the Earth system and societies. It assesses current scientific understanding of the most severe climate outcomes, and proposes ways to address …

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TIPMIP-OCEAN experimental protocol phase 1: Tipping dynamics of the AMOC

Didier Swingedouw, Laura Jackson, Aixue Hu, Anastasia Romanou et autres

Abstract. This paper describes the experimental protocol for a set of coordinated simulations involving oceanic surface freshwater flux perturbations, conducted as part of the international Tipping Points Modelling Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP). These simulations constitute the first phase of the TIPMIP-OCEAN domain. We …

fr, gb, us, de, jp, it, nl, dk, no, ch, se, au, cn (code pays fourni par la source)

Towards an Open ESM Framework for Climate Intelligence in Europe

Benjamin M. Sanderson, Antonio Navarra, W. Thiery, Marit Sandstad et autres

A case for coordinated open infrastructure to strengthen European climate modelling capacity, scientific autonomy, and policy relevance.

no, it, be, ch, de, gb, nl, us, es (code pays fourni par la source)

Towards an Open ESM Framework for Climate Intelligence in Europe

Benjamin M. Sanderson, Antonio Navarra, W. Thiery, Marit Sandstad et autres

A case for coordinated open infrastructure to strengthen European climate modelling capacity, scientific autonomy, and policy relevance.

no, it, be, ch, de, gb, nl, us, es (code pays fourni par la source)

Extending the range and reach of physically-based Greenland ice sheet sea-level projections

Heiko Goelzer, Constantijn J. Berends, Fredrik Boberg, G. Durand et autres

We present an ensemble of physically-based ice sheet model projections for the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) that was produced as part of the European project PROTECT. Our ice sheet model (ISM) simulations are forced by high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) output and …

no, nl, dk, fr, gb, be (code pays fourni par la source)

Investigating the multi-millennial evolution and stability of the Greenland ice sheet using remapped surface mass balance forcing

Charlotte Rahlves, Heiko Goelzer, Andreas Born, Petra M. Langebroek

Surface mass balance (SMB) forcing for projections of the future evolution of the Greenland ice sheet with stand-alone modeling approaches has been commonly derived from regional climate models (RCMs) on a fixed ice sheet topography. However, over long time scales, changes in …

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Lessons for multi-model ensemble design drawn from emulator experiments: application to a large ensemble for 2100 sea level contributions of the Greenland ice sheet

Jérémy Rohmer, Heiko Goelzer, Tamsin Edwards, Gonéri Le Cozannet et autres

Multi-model ensembles (MME) are key ingredients for future climate projections and the quantification of their uncertainties. Developing robust protocols to design balanced and complete computer experiments for MME is a matter of active research. In this study, we take advantage of a …

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Interactive coupling of a Greenland ice sheet model in NorESM2

Heiko Goelzer, Petra M. Langebroek, Andreas Born, Stefan Hofer et autres

On the backdrop of observed accelerating ice sheet mass loss over the last few decades, there is growing interest in the role of ice sheet changes in global climate projections. In this regard, we have coupled the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM) …

no, gb, us (code pays fourni par la source)

Disentangling uncertainty in ISMIP6 Antarctic sub-shelf melting and 2300 sea level rise projections

Johanna Beckmann, Ronja Reese, Felicity S. McCormack, Sue Cook et autres

Abstract. Ocean-driven ice shelf melting is a major contributor of present and future ice loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet. In the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) Antarctic 2300 projections, sea level rise varies widely, from -0.6 to 4.4 m, highlighting …

au, gb, us, jp, de, es, nl, fr, no, be, fi, nz (code pays fourni par la source)

Supplementary material to "Disentangling uncertainty in ISMIP6 Antarctic sub-shelf melting and 2300 sea level rise projections"

Johanna Beckmann, Ronja Reese, Felicity S. McCormack, Sue Cook et autres

au, fr, gb, us, de, es, nl, no, be, nz, fi (code pays fourni par la source)

Reply on RC2

Heiko Goelzer

Abstract. We present an ensemble of ice sheet model projections for the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) that was produced as part of the European project PROTECT. The work makes use of ice sheet model (ISM) projections forced by high-resolution regional climate model …

no (code pays fourni par la source)