Denis Mollison

How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research

Emma McBryde, Bimandra A. Djaafara, James M. McCaw, Sebastian Funk et autres

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How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research

Liza Hadley, Slimane Ben Miled, Hannah E. Clapham, Bimandra A. Djaafara et autres

The COVID-19 crisis required scientists worldwide to contribute to complex, hectic, and unfamiliar governmental decision-processes. In this Perspective, we reflect on this intense interaction between science and health policy for pandemic response, drawing from the experience of infectious disease modellers across the …

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Infectious disease outbreak controllability: biological, social and public health factors

Robin N. Thompson, Shweta Bansal, Hannah Clapham, Louise Dyson et autres

Early in an infectious disease outbreak, key policy questions include whether and how the outbreak can be brought under control. In the epidemiological modelling literature, analyses of outbreak controllability have often focused on metrics such as reproduction numbers (which quantify the number …

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Author response for "Infectious disease outbreak controllability: Biological, social and public health factors"

Robin N. Thompson, Shweta Bansal, Hannah Clapham, Louise Dyson et autres

Author response for "Infectious disease outbreak controllability: Biological, social and public health factors"

Robin N. Thompson, Shweta Bansal, Hannah Clapham, Louise Dyson et autres

Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

Viggo Andreasen, Lorenzo Pellis, T. Déirdre Hollingsworth, Pieter Trapman et autres

Despite some notable successes in the control of infectious diseases, transmissible pathogens still pose an enormous threat to human and animal health. The ecological and evolutionary dynamics of infections play out on a wide range of interconnected temporal, organizational, and spatial scales, …

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pref: Preference Voting with Explanatory Graphics

Denis Mollison

Implements the Single Transferable Vote (STV) electoral system, with clear explanatory graphics. The core function stv() uses Meek's method, the purest expression of the simple principles of STV, but which requires electronic counting. It can handle votes expressing equal preferences for subsets …

Fair votes in practice

Denis Mollison

Criteria for a good voting system have been given particularly careful scrutiny in recent years, with general agreement that the core values are fair results, voter power and choice, and local representation. This paper reexamines the basic ideas of three widely used …

Getting the most out of maths: How to coordinate mathematical modelling research to support a pandemic, lessons learnt from three initiatives that were part of the COVID-19 response in the UK

C. E. Dangerfield, I. David Abrahams, Chris J. Budd, Matt Butchers et autres

In March 2020 mathematics became a key part of the scientific advice to the UK government on the pandemic response to COVID-19. Mathematical and statistical modelling provided critical information on the spread of the virus and the potential impact of different interventions. …

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Preface: Challenges for future pandemics

Denis Mollison, Valerie S. Isham, C. E. Dangerfield, T. Déirdre Hollingsworth

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Modelling: Understanding pandemics and how to control them

Glenn Marion, Liza Hadley, Valerie S. Isham, Denis Mollison et autres

New disease challenges, societal demands and better or novel types of data, drive innovations in the structure, formulation and analysis of epidemic models. Innovations in modelling can lead to new insights into epidemic processes and better use of available data, yielding improved …

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Commentary on the use of the reproduction number R during the COVID-19 pandemic

Carolin Vegvari, Sam Abbott, Frank Ball, Ellen Brooks‐Pollock et autres

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the reproduction number [Formula: see text] has become a popular epidemiological metric used to communicate the state of the epidemic. At its most basic, [Formula: see text] is defined as the average number of secondary …

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