Annarita Mariotti

Earth System Predictability across Time Scales for a Resilient Society: A Research Community Perspective

Jadwiga H. Richter, Everette Joseph, Marybeth C. Arcodia, Judith Berner et autres

Abstract With extreme weather events becoming more frequent and severe, accelerating progress in Earth system predictability is urgently needed to deepen fundamental understanding, improve predictive tools, and provide reliable, actionable information for societal resilience. Building on prior and ongoing efforts by the …

us, gb, Ghana (code pays fourni par la source)

Envisioning U.S. Climate Predictions and Projections to Meet New Challenges

Annarita Mariotti, David C. Bader, Susanne E. Bauer, Gökhan Danabasoglu et autres

Abstract In the face of a changing climate, the understanding, predictions, and projections of natural and human systems are increasingly crucial to prepare and cope with extremes and cascading hazards, determine unexpected feedbacks and potential tipping points, inform long‐term adaptation strategies, and …

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NOAA Carbon Monitoring, Research, and Innovation: Long-Standing Foundation to Support Climate Mitigation

Vanda Grubı̆sı́c, Ariel Stein, Monica Kopacz, Annarita Mariotti

NOAA has over 50 years of experience monitoring global atmospheric levels of greenhouse gasses (GHG) emitted to the atmosphere by human activities and natural sources. This includes most notably measurements of atmospheric abundances of CO2 and other long-lived GHGs at its Global …

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Envisioning U.S. Climate Predictions and Projections to Meet New Challenges

Annarita Mariotti, David C. Bader, Susanne E. Bauer, Gökhan Danabasoglu et autres

In the face of a changing climate, the understanding, predictions and projections of natural and human systems are increasingly crucial to prepare and cope with extremes and cascading hazards, determine unexpected feedbacks and potential tipping points, inform long-term adaptation strategies, and guide …

us (code pays fourni par la source)

Progress in Federal Coordination to Advance Meteorological Services

Annarita Mariotti, Scott C. Weaver, Nirmala Kannankutty, Mark Paese et autres

Abstract In 2020, the federal government completed the first major restructuring of its interagency coordination for meteorological services in over 50 years. The Interagency Council for Advancing Meteorological Services (ICAMS) now provides White House–level coordination of federal resources to advance the full …

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Controlling variables of denudation across catchments draining to the Great Barrier Reef

Annarita Mariotti, Jacky Croke, Rebecca Bartley, Shawn Kelley et autres

Human-environmental interactions in Mediterranean climate regions from the Pleistocene to the Anthropocene

Torben C. Rick, Miguel Ángel Cau Ontiveros, Antonieta Jerardino, Annarita Mariotti et autres

From mobile hunter-gatherers to a series of state societies, Mediterranean climate regions (MED) around the world have been critical areas for human and biological evolution for millennia. Comprised of five regions on six continents, the MED are important today for human settlement, …

us, es, Afrique du Sud, cl, au (code pays fourni par la source)

Forecasts of Opportunity: Opening Windows of Skill, Subseasonal and Beyond

Annarita Mariotti, Cory Baggett, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Emily Becker et autres

A cross the globe, people desire forecasts out to several weeks with the skill of a 5-day weather forecast.A National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine report suggests that subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts would, in 10 years, be used like weather …

Assessing the role of internal ocean dynamics and external forcings on the decadal-scale predictability in the North Atlantic: a large ensemble analysis

Alessio Bellucci, Marianna Benassi, Silvio Gualdi, Annarita Mariotti

Understanding processes and mechanisms which contribute to decadal climate variability is a crucial step in the development of a reliable prediction system, and as such it constitutes an important segment of the activities carried forward by the EU-funded Horizon 2020 EUCP project. …

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Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments

Michael G. Jacox, Michael A. Alexander, Samantha Siedlecki, Ke Chen et autres

Marine ecosystem forecasting is an area of active research and rapid development. Promise has been shown for skillful prediction of physical, biogeochemical, and ecological variables on a range of timescales, suggesting potential for forecasts to aid in the management of living marine …

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Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of U.S. coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments

Michael G. Jacox, Michael A. Alexander, Samantha Siedlecki, Ke Chen et autres

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Windows of Opportunity for Skillful Forecasts Subseasonal to Seasonal and Beyond

Annarita Mariotti, Cory Baggett, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Emily Becker et autres

Abstract There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons and beyond. This is driven by the needs of the energy, water management, and …

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