Code for: Drivers of northern peatland CO2 fluxes revisited: interacting water level-temperature dependency, Nat. Comm.

Résumé fourni par la source

Abstract Peatlands are the largest terrestrial stores of organic carbon, but their drainage has turned them into substantial sources of CO2. While water level is widely recognized as the primary control of CO2 emissions from peatlands, effective future management also requires understanding its interaction with rising temperatures under a warming climate. Using 276 site- years of CO2 flux observations across temperate and boreal peatlands, we apply explainable machine-learning to disentangle the combined effects of water table depths and temperature on ecosystem CO2 exchange at annual scales. Across peatlands spanning diverse land- cover—including natural fens and bogs, croplands, grasslands, and extraction sites—CO₂ emissions exhibit a non-linear response to water table depth which interacts with temperatures, resulting in a stronger increase in temperate than in boreal sites. Emissions decline when water tables are raised above 60-75 cm depth. Optimal mitigation requires water tables of 20 cm or higher. On a subset of 113 site-years of daily CO2 flux data, we show that at warm temperatures, higher water tables suppress, whereas deeper water tables enhance temperature-driven CO2 emissions from peatlands. We demonstrate that hydrology regulates the temperature sensitivity of peatland carbon release, revealing a key control on carbon– climate feedbacks under future warming.

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