Accès ouvert déclaré
2026
preprint
National Scenarios Data 2025 - Business As Usual, Current Policies and Net-Zero
Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan, Shinichiro Fujimori, Roberto Schaeffer, Frédéric Ghersi, Alauki Patel, Philip Hackstock, David Almeida, Anuj Pathak, Shoyeb Khan, Ambiyah Abdullah, Varun Agarwal, Jiseok Ahn, Thalia Hernández Amezcua, Gerd Brantes Angelkorte, Raphael Apeaning, Muhammad Awais, Dan Azevedo, Maria-Iro Baka, Luiz Bernardo Baptista, Aliosha Nicolás Behnisch, Jenna Behrendt, Imen Bennour, Christoph Bertram, Devadathan Biju, Olivier Boucher, Daniel Buira, Achiraya Chaichaloempreecha, Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Wenying Chen, Maksym Chepeliev, Cheolhung Cho, Philippe Ciais, Ryna Cui, Hancheng Dai, Pallavi Das, Shruti Dayal, Anurag Dey, Oleksandr Diachuk, Luís Pereira Dias, Ogheneruona E. Diemuodeke, Qi Ding, Fabio A. Diuana, Colm Duffy, JAE EDMONDS, Chukwuemeka Chinonso Emenekwe, Nnaemeka Vincent Emodi, Seiya Endo, Meredydd Evans, Patrícia Fortes, Panagiotis Fragkos, Jay Fuhrman, Amit Garg, Mel George, Görkem Güngör, Haned Hadjer, Mohamad Hejazi, Hiroki Yoshida, Hamasaki Hiroshi, Jong Ho Hong, Nathan Hultman, Daniel Huppmann, Michael Ian Westphal, Gokul Iyer, Soyeong Jeong, Jiyong Eom, Yiyi Ju, Patrick Jürgens, Markus Kaiser, Puneet Kamboj, Etsushi Kato, Keywan Riahi, Joudat Bint Khalil, Jintea Kim, Yong-Gun Kim, E. Kim, Christoph Kost, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Francisco Lallana, Xinyue Li, Bundit Limmeechokchai, Yang Liu, Yongzhe Liu, Junling Liu, Yingying Lu, Lin Ma, Xin-Chao Ma, Mohamed Maarfi, Hasan Mahmud, Talha Manzoor, Marc Jim M. Mariano, Yuhji Matsuo, Haewon McJeon, Madeleine McPherson, Bruno Michoud, Andy Miller, Jihoon Min, Jacob Monroe, Taísa Nogueira Morais, Soichi Morimoto, Abubakr Muhammad, Gustavo Nadal, Firuz Ahamed Nahid, Uchenna Alexander Nnamani, Hannah Nolte, Duy Nong, Hideaki Obane, Kowan O'Keefe, Chukwumerije Okereke, Tatsuya Okubo, Kiara Ordonez-Olazabal, Anton Orlov, Osamu Nishiura, Ken Oshiro, Abderhim Ötkür, Takashi Ôtsuki, Yang Ou, Evangelos Panos, Michael Petalio, Roman Podolets, Bijay B. Pradhan, Apoorva R, Salony Rajbhandari, Ramachandran Kannan, Marina Yesica Recalde, Jinhui Ren, Oliver Richters, Pedro Rochedo, Renato Rodrigues, Silvira Rosalia, Joyashree Roy, Rika Safrina, Saloua Chaouche, Ramazan Sarı, Madeleine Seatle, Андрій Семенюк, Fabio Sferra, Hiroto Shiraki, Ahmed SM Sobhy, Rafael Soria, Masahiro Sugiyama, Katsumasa Tanaka, Kushal Tibrewal, Jordi Tovilla, Alexandros Tsimpoukis, Thanh Tu Tran, Bas van Ruijven, George Verikios, Daniel Villamar, Kenichi Wada, Henri Waisman, Huaxuan Wang, Xin Wang, Taoyuan Wei, Pascal Weigmann, Jung‐Hun Woo, Wei-Wei Xiong, Zulfikar Yurnaidi, Shu Zhang, Alicia Zhao, Rongqi Zhu
0Citations signalées — pas une note de qualité
75Institutions déclarées
31Pays d’affiliation déclarés
Résumé fourni par la source
This is a pre-print of the National Scenarios Dataset 2025 - Business As Usual, Current Policies and Net-Zero [Paper and SI] submitted to Scientific Data for peer review. Abstract: Climate change mitigation scenario datasets are a valuable resource that explores socioeconomic pathways, emissions trajectories, and energy transitions. Global mitigation scenario ensembles have been compiled under specific protocols to support scientific assessments and ease of comparison. By contrast, national scenarios have not historically been collected and assessed in a standardized manner; hence remain rarely collected, coordinated and/or systematically assessed at global level. To address these gaps, this study presents a repository of national scenarios containing submissions from 57 modelling teams across 36 countries with standardized metadata to facilitate consistent evaluation. These scenarios reflect socioeconomic development and climate policy measures under three distinct pathways: business as usual, current policies and net-zero targets. We have implemented a customized vetting process during this pilot stage to ensure data quality and consistency. This scenario ensemble addresses a major critique of the global mitigation scenarios by improving national representation at both the model and scenario development level. It also strengthens the representation of technological development and rapid transitions at national-level in a global context. Interested parties will need to sign the MOU if they need accesss to the National Scenarios Dataset. For more information, please contact: Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan (Kyoto University, vishwanathan.saritha.5t@kyoto-u.ac.jp, sarithasv@iima.ac.in) Scientific Working Group Co-Chairs: Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan (Kyoto University, vishwanathan.saritha.5t@kyoto-u.ac.jp, sarithasv@iima.ac.in) Shinichiro Fujimori (Kyoto University, NIES, IIASA) Roberto Schaeffer (COPPE/UFRJ) Data Processing for Scenario dataset: Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan (Kyoto University) Data Quality Check: Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan (Kyoto University), Shoyeb Khan (RA, IIMA), Alauki Patel (RA, IIMA) and Anuj Pathak (PhD student, Kyoto University) National Modelling and Scenario Forum (NMSF) Database Infrastructure (Model registration, Scenario submission issues): Phillip Hackstock (IIASA), David Almeida (IIASA), Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan (Kyoto University), Daniel Huppmann (IIASA) Data Contributors: Subnational, National, Regional and Global modelling teams
Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.
Contrôle bibliographique ouvert
La source scientifique ouverte est momentanément indisponible.
Institutions déclarées
Une affiliation ne permet pas de déduire la nationalité d’un auteur.
Sujets associés
Climate Change Policy and EconomicsClimate Change and Sustainable DevelopmentSustainability and Climate Change Governance