Effect of exposure to conflicts on childhood mortality: analyses of pooled cross-sectional data from 105 surveys from 52 countries
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Le résumé fourni par la source
This study examines the relationship between armed conflict exposure and child mortality using a large-scale, multi-country dataset. We pool cross-sectional data from 105 Demographic and Health Surveys across 52 countries between 1998 and 2018, linking georeferenced conflict events from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) with individual-level records for 943,139 preschool-age children. A Cox proportional hazards model is used to estimate the association between conflict exposure and under-five mortality, controlling for socio-economic, demographic, and provincial-level characteristics. Results show a significant and robust association between conflict exposure and excess child mortality. In the baseline model, exposed children face a higher log hazard of death (β = 0.186, p < 0.01), corresponding to roughly a 20% increase in mortality hazard. The association holds regionally, with a 24% higher hazard in Asia and a 14% increase in Africa, and remains significant in fully adjusted specifications. Mediation analyses reveal that conflict exposure reduces maternal healthcare utilization (4+ ANC visits: β = –0.202, p < 0.01) and institutional delivery (β = –0.188, p < 0.01). Findings are robust across alternative conflict measures, geo-coded sub-samples, and non-migrant populations. The evidence highlights the urgent need to protect maternal and child health services in conflict-affected settings.
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Le contrôle bibliographique ouvert
DOI retrouvé dans Crossref DOI retrouvé ; titre concordant.
- Titre Crossref
- Effect of exposure to conflicts on childhood mortality: analyses of pooled cross-sectional data from 105 surveys from 52 countries
- Date Crossref
- 05/08/2026
- Éditeur
- Informa UK Limited
- Type
- journal-article
Ce recoupement confirme des métadonnées liées au DOI. Il ne confirme ni la méthode ni les conclusions de l’étude, et il ne compte pas comme une seconde source scientifique indépendante.
Où se fait cette recherche
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International Institute for Population Sciences pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Centre for Innovation Policy and Governance pays non établi dans la noticeOrganisation à but non lucratif
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Centre of Policy Research and Governance pays non établi dans la noticeInstitution
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Indian Institute of Technology pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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Institute of Development Studies pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
International Institute for Population Sciences, Centre for Innovation Policy and Governance et Centre of Policy Research and Governance, avec 2 autres affiliations.
Une affiliation ne permet pas de déduire la nationalité d’un auteur.