Exploring Psychological and Biological Mediators between Childhood Adversity and Psychosis: An updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

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Abstract Background Childhood adversity (CA) has been identified as one of the most robust risk factors for psychotic disorders; several treatable mediating mechanisms have been proposed. Aims To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis examining mediating pathways linking CA and psychosis. Method This PRISMA-compliant systematic review (PROSPERO: CRD42024542972). consisted of a search conducted in January 2026 on Ovid (PsycINFO, Medline, and Embase) using search terms related to psychosis, CA, and mediation analyses. Evidence was appraised by calculating the percentage of the total effect mediated in each study, grouping mediators into meaningful groups. When possible, meta-analyses using two-stage meta-analytic structural equation modelling (METASEM) were conducted. Results 117 studies were included (54 in clinical samples, 59 in non-clinical samples, and four studies in both clinical and non-clinical samples). 107 studies examined psychological mediators and 12 examined biological. The median percentages of total effect mediated across all analyses per mediator family were: 49% for dissociation (k = 24), 45% for psychosocial stressors (k = 6), 37.9% for negative schemas (k = 23), 35.2% for post-traumatic symptoms (k = 10), 31.5% for depressive symptoms (k = 14), 27.8% for anxiety (k = 11), 27.1% for attachment styles (k = 12), and 8.7% for mentalization domains (k = 5). Meta-analyses confirmed a robust mediating effect of dissociation (k = 7; N = 2143; indirect effect (I.E) =0.42 [0.17, 0.66] on psychosis; 50.49%), on delusions (k =7; N = 1053; I.E = 0.36, [0.27, 0.46]; 46.44%]) and on hallucinations (k =10; N = 5705; I.E = 0.28 [0.20, 0.36]; 57.59%). Robust mediation via depression ( k =5; N= 5028; indirect effect= 0.33 [0.31, 0.35]; 31.05%) and negative schemas of the association between trauma and psychosis broadly defined (k = 7; N=10791; I.E= 0.26 [0.17, 0.35]; 26.36%) was also observed. High heterogeneity was observed across all meta-analyses. Fewer studies examined biological mediators, preventing quantitative synthesis. Conclusions Childhood adversity impacts psychosis through psychosocial mediators, particularly dissociation. Further work is required to on the potential role of biological mechanisms and its interplay with psychological mechanisms.

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