A systematic review of COVID-19 epidemic models with endogenous human behaviour. What's next?

Résumé fourni par la source

Human behaviour and epidemic dynamics are intertwined, yet accounting for this feedback remains one of the key challenges of epidemiological modelling. The COVID-19 pandemic was an opportunity to overcome the traditional limitations of the field, raising expectations that data-informed endogenous approaches to behaviour modelling would advance substantially. To quantify the progresses made, we conducted a systematic review of SARS-CoV-2 transmission models endogenously including human behaviour in response to epidemic dynamics. The COVID-19 pandemic saw great strides in terms of the expanded use of empirical data in epi-behavioural modelling. However, it also showed shortcomings with respect to limited use of behavioural empirical data, lack of innovation in model structure, and limited engagement with other disciplines and decision-makers. Overall, our results suggest that identifying priorities in model design and behavioural data, building an adequate data collection infrastructure, leveraging on AI advancements, and fostering interdisciplinarity are strategies of utmost importance for pandemic preparedness.

Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.