M3Time: LLM-Enhanced Multi-Modal, Multi-Scale, and Multi-Frequency Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Le résumé fourni par la source

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) aims to capture the dependencies among multiple variables and their temporal dynamics to predict future values. In recent years, Large Language Models (LLMs) have set a new paradigm for MTSF, incorporating external knowledge into the modeling process through textual prompts. However, we observe that current LLM-based methods fail to exploit these priors due to their coarse-grained representation of time series data, which hinders effective alignment of the two modals. To address this, we propose M3Time, a multi-modal, multi-scale, and multi-frequency framework for multivariate time series forecasting. It enhances the quality of time series representations and facilitates the integration of LLM semantic priors with fine-grained temporal features. Additionally, M3Time further improved training stability and model robustness with an adaptive mixed loss function, which dynamically balances L1 and L2 error terms. Experiment results on seven real-world public datasets show that M3Time consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, underscoring its effectiveness.

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