MRI-Based Radiomics for Outcome Stratification in Pediatric Osteosarcoma

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Background/Objectives: Osteosarcoma (OS) is the most common malignant bone tumor in children and adolescents; the survival rate is as low as 24%. Accurate prediction of clinical outcomes remains a challenge due to tumor heterogeneity and the complexity of pediatric cases. This study aims to improve predictions of progressive disease, therapy response, relapse, and survival in pediatric OS using MRI-based radiomics and machine learning methods. Methods: Pre-treatment contrast-enhanced coronal T1-weighted MR scans were collected from 63 pediatric OS patients, with an additional nine external cases used for validation. Three strategies were considered for target region segmentation (whole-tumor, tumor sampling, and bone/soft tissue) and used for MRI-based radiomics. These were then combined with clinical features to predict OS clinical outcomes. Results: The mean age of OS patients was 11.8 ± 3.5 years. Most tumors were located in the femur (65%). Osteoblastic subtype was the most common histological classification (79%). The majority of OS patients (79%) did not have evidence of metastasis at diagnosis. Progressive disease occurred in 27% of patients, 59% of patients showed adequate therapy response, 25% experienced relapse after therapy, and 30% died from OS. Classification models based on bone/soft tissue segmentation generally performed the best, with certain clinical features improving performance, especially for therapy response and mortality. The top performing classifier in each outcome achieved 0.94–1.0 validation ROC AUC and 0.63–1.0 testing ROC AUC, while those without radiomic features (RFs) generally performed suboptimally. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the strong predictive capabilities of MRI-based radiomics and multi-region segmentations for predicting clinical outcomes in pediatric OS.

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