Potentially Suitable Habitat for the Pest Histia rhodope Based on Its Host Plant Bischofia polycarpa and Climatic Factors in China
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Le résumé fourni par la source
Histia rhodope is a defoliating pest that feeds mainly on the ornamental garden plant Bischofia polycarpa. Recently, frequent outbreaks of H. rhodope in Southern China have severely affected cityscapes and people’s lives. To provide a predictive early-warning program for the spread risk of H. rhodope in China and reduce damage to B. polycarpa, we used the MaxEnt model to investigate the potentially suitable spread characteristics of H. rhodope and its host B. polycarpa under different climate scenarios for the years 2050 and 2070. The results showed that the potentially suitable habitat of H. rhodope under the SSP5-8.5 scenario will reach an area of 3174.55 × 103 km2 in the 2070s, an increase of 1010 × 103 km2 from the current distribution. The potentially suitable habitat of B. polycarpa under the SSP5-8.5 scenario will reach 2618.01 × 103 km2 in the 2070s (an increase of 464 × 103 km2). The potentially suitable habitats of H. rhodope and B. polycarpa are expected to shift to higher elevations under future climate scenarios. We also identified ten key environmental factors, of which Precipitation of Warmest Quarter (bio18) had the greatest influence on the probability of moth and host plant occurrence. Our results highlight the risk of further expansion of the potentially suitable area for H. rhodope and the important role of the host plant in this process, and provide a firm scientific basis for the monitoring and management of H. rhodope and B. polycarpa.
Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.
Le contrôle bibliographique ouvert
DOI retrouvé dans Crossref DOI retrouvé ; titre concordant.
- Titre Crossref
- Potentially Suitable Habitat for the Pest Histia rhodope Based on Its Host Plant Bischofia polycarpa and Climatic Factors in China
- Date Crossref
- 13/06/2025
- Éditeur
- MDPI AG
- Type
- journal-article
Ce recoupement confirme des métadonnées liées au DOI. Il ne confirme ni la méthode ni les conclusions de l’étude, et il ne compte pas comme une seconde source scientifique indépendante.
Où se fait cette recherche
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Yancheng Teachers University Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Bioresources of Saline Soils pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Bioresources of Saline Soils pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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Chinese Academy of Forestry pays non établi dans la noticeOrganisme public
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Institute of Forest Ecology pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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School of Wetlands Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Coastal Wetland Bioresources and Environmental Protection pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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School of Hydraulic Engineering pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Key Laboratory of Forest Protection of the National Forestry and Grassland Administration pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Bioresources of Saline Soils — Yancheng Teachers University, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Bioresources of Saline Soils et Chinese Academy of Forestry, avec 4 autres affiliations.
Une affiliation ne permet pas de déduire la nationalité d’un auteur.