Validation of a global geospace model with a systems science approach based on canonical correlation analysis

Le résumé fourni par la source

A systems science approach based on canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is applied as a new, behavioral way to validate global geospace models. The biggest novelty of the technique is that it validates models at a system level, whereby a side-by-side comparison is performed of CCA applied to a 30-day observational and the corresponding simulation datasets comprising quiet, moderate and active times. The simulation used the Multiscale Atmosphere-Geospace Environment (MAGE) model. It is shown that (1) CCA must be combined with sensitivity analysis to be effective, (2) the MAGE model generally reproduces the observed behavior (more so for quieter time intervals), quantified by the intercorrelations between different variables and (3) the technique identifies the SuperMAG SML index as a quantity for which model refinements are needed.

Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.