Modeling the spatial distribution of dung beetles under climate change scenarios: insights based on nesting strategy, body size and period of activity
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Le résumé fourni par la source
Abstract Climate change is expected to exert varying effects on different taxa and species, affecting both their abundance and distribution ranges. Previous studies have used climate niche models (CNMs) to estimate shifts in the distribution of insects, without considering whether the effects of climate change may vary depending on their functional traits (nesting strategy, body size, and period of activity). Dung beetles, a taxonomic group characterized by using mammalian dung as their primary source of food (coprophagy), respond differently to temperature fluctuations depending on their nesting strategy and body size. In this study, we used CNMs to estimate shifts in the distribution ranges of 33 species of dung beetles under climate change scenarios (the shared socioeconomic pathways from the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report) for the period 2041–2060 in North America and Central America (excluding Canada due to absence of data). Additionally, we analyzed whether the effects of climate change on the distribution ranges of the studied species are significantly different depending on their functional traits. Our results showed that climate change will negatively affect the distribution range of the majority of the studied species by the middle of this century, with contrasting effects depending on their nesting strategy and body size. The smallest species and dwellers showed an increase in their occurrence probabilities and percentage of highly suitable habitats, whereas larger-bodied species and tunnelers showed a decrease in both. We found no significant differences between diurnal and nocturnal species. Our results show that by incorporating key traits related to temperature response and ecosystem function, we can analyze shifts in species distribution ranges more precisely, enabling the identification of patterns across functional categories and predictions about their future.
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Le contrôle bibliographique ouvert
DOI retrouvé dans Crossref DOI retrouvé ; titre concordant.
- Titre Crossref
- Modeling the spatial distribution of dung beetles under climate change scenarios: insights based on nesting strategy, body size and period of activity
- Date Crossref
- 01/03/2025
- Éditeur
- IOP Publishing
- Type
- journal-article
Ce recoupement confirme des métadonnées liées au DOI. Il ne confirme ni la méthode ni les conclusions de l’étude, et il ne compte pas comme une seconde source scientifique indépendante.
Où se fait cette recherche
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Institute for Scientific and Technological Research pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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Autonomous University of San Luis Potosí pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Hidalgo pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica IPICYT/División de Ciencias Ambientales pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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SECIHTI/IPICYT—División de Ciencias Ambientales pays non établi dans la noticeInstitution
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Instituto de Investigación de Zonas Desérticas pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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Instituto de Ciencias Básicas e Ingenierías Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
Institute for Scientific and Technological Research, Autonomous University of San Luis Potosí et Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Hidalgo, avec 4 autres affiliations.
Une affiliation ne permet pas de déduire la nationalité d’un auteur.