SPIN: Sparse Portfolio Strategy With Irregular News in Fluctuating Markets

Résumé fourni par la source

The sparse portfolio optimization (SPO) problem is increasingly crucial in portfolio management, focusing on selecting a few stocks with the potential for strong market performance. However, sparse portfolio strategies often face significant short-term drawdowns during periods of market volatility. To this end, a news-driven portfolio strategy offers valuable insights to capture sudden market changes. Nevertheless, it encounters two main challenges:how to reasonably map the relationships between news and stocksandhow to effectively utilize the irregular timing of news releases. To tackle the SPO problem in fluctuating markets while addressing these challenges, we propose a novel news-driven sparse portfolio strategy, named SPIN. Specifically, SPIN not only leverages industry-specific group structures existing among stocks for a more reasonable news-stock mapping and models news sequential patterns based on our devised novel news-driven forecaster to handle the irregularity of news releases. We rigorously prove that SPIN achieves a sub-linear regret. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate SPIN's superiority over state-of-the-art portfolio strategies in terms of cumulative wealth and short-term drawdowns.

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