Risk effects of environmental factors on human brucellosis in Aksu Prefecture, Xinjiang, China, 2014–2023
Rattachement africain : cn. Niveau de preuve : code pays fourni par la source.
Le résumé fourni par la source
The context of rapid global environmental change underscores the pressing necessity to investigate the environmental factors and high-risk areas that contribute to the occurrence of brucellosis. In this study, a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was employed to analyze the factors influencing brucellosis in the Aksu Prefecture from 2014 to 2023. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was employed to investigate the lagged effect of meteorological factors on the occurrence of brucellosis. A total of 17 environmental factors were identified as affecting the distribution of brucellosis to varying degrees. The largest contributing was the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), followed by gross domestic product (GDP), and then meteorological factors such as average temperature, average relative humidity, and average wind speed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve demonstrated that the MaxEnt model exhibited a high degree of predictive efficacy, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.921. The impact of high temperature (25℃ with a 2-month lag, RR = 3.130, 95% CI 1.642 ~ 5.965), low relative humidity (28% with a 2.5-month lag, RR = 1.795, 95% CI 1.298 ~ 2.483), and low wind speed (1.9 m/s with a 0-month lag, RR = 2.408, 95% CI 1.360 ~ 4.264) are the most significant meteorological factors associated with the incidence of brucellosis. The trends in the impact of extreme meteorological conditions on the spread of brucellosis were found to be generally consistent. Stratified analyses indicated that males were more affected by meteorological factors than females. The prevalence of brucellosis is influenced by a range of socio-economic and meteorological factors, and a multifaceted approach is necessary to prevent and control brucellosis.
Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.
Le contrôle bibliographique ouvert
DOI retrouvé dans Crossref DOI retrouvé ; titre concordant.
- Titre Crossref
- Risk effects of environmental factors on human brucellosis in Aksu Prefecture, Xinjiang, China, 2014–2023
- Date Crossref
- 23/01/2025
- Éditeur
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC
- Type
- journal-article
Ce recoupement confirme des métadonnées liées au DOI. Il ne confirme ni la méthode ni les conclusions de l’étude, et il ne compte pas comme une seconde source scientifique indépendante.
Où se fait cette recherche
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Xinjiang Medical University pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Disease Prevention and Control Center pays non établi dans la noticeOrganisme public
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Karamay Central Hospital Department of Pathology pays non établi dans la noticeÉtablissement de santé
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Karamay Central Hospital of Xinjiang pays non établi dans la noticeÉtablissement de santé
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School of Public Health pays non établi dans la noticeUniversité ou école supérieure
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Aksu Regional Center for Disease Control and Prevention pays non établi dans la noticeInstitution
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Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region Center for Disease Control and Prevention pays non établi dans la noticeInstitution
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Xinjiang Clinical Research Center for precision medicine of digestive system tumor pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
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Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Clinical Genetic Testing and Biomedical Information pays non établi dans la noticeStructure de recherche
Xinjiang Medical University, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Disease Prevention and Control Center et Department of Pathology — Karamay Central Hospital, avec 6 autres affiliations.
Une affiliation ne permet pas de déduire la nationalité d’un auteur.