Reply on RC2

Le résumé fourni par la source

Abstract. We present a suite of new atmospheric river (AR) metrics that are designed for quick analysis of AR characteristics and statistics in gridded climate datasets such as model output and reanalysis. This package is expected to be particularly useful for climate model evaluation. The metrics include mean bias and spatial pattern correlation, which are efficient for diagnosing systematic AR biases in climate models. For example, the package identifies that in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, AR tracks in the south Atlantic are positioned farther poleward compared to the ERA5 reanalysis, while in the south Pacific, tracks are generally biased towards the equator. For the landfalling AR peak season, we find that most climate models simulate a completely opposite seasonal cycle over western Africa. This tool is also useful for identifying and characterizing structural differences among different AR detectors (ARDTs). For example, ARs detected with the Mundhenk algorithm exhibit systematically larger size, width and length compared to the TempestExtremes (TE) method. The AR metrics developed from this work can be routinely applied for model benchmarking and during the development cycle to trace performance evolution across model versions or generations and set objective targets for the improvement of models. They can also be used by operational centers to perform near real-time climate and extreme events impact assessment as part of their forecast cycle.

Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.