Baseline C-reactive Protein as a Risk Factor for Cryptococcal Meningitis and Death in HIV-associated Cryptococcal Antigenemia With CrAg Titer as an Effect Modifier

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Background: Persons with HIV and cryptococcal antigenemia are at high risk of progression to cryptococcal meningitis or death. Baseline cryptococcal antigen (CrAg) plasma titer ≥1:160 is a known risk factor for poor outcomes, but other risk factors are unknown. In HIV-associated cryptococcal meningitis, baseline serum C-reactive protein (CRP) concentrations are positively associated with increased mortality. We hypothesized that CRP might also be associated with meningitis or death in persons with cryptococcal antigenemia. Methods: We measured plasma CrAg titers and CRP concentrations on cryopreserved serum from prospectively enrolled persons with HIV and cryptococcal antigenemia. Using time-to-event analyses, we compared 24-week meningitis-free survival in persons with normal CRP (<8 mg/L) and elevated CRP (≥8 mg/L). Logistic regression was used to assess how CRP concentration and CrAg titer might interact as covariates. Results: = .035). Persons with CrAg titer <1:160 and normal CRP had an ∼5% (3/61) event rate, whereas those with CrAg titer <1:160 but elevated CRP had an ∼20% (12/59) event rate. Importantly, we identified a statistically significant interaction effect between CrAg titer and CRP groups, in which elevated CRP increased risk in the low CrAg titer group (odds ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-2.04), but this effect was not present in high CrAg titer group (odds ratio, 0.78; 95% confidence interval, .53-1.15). Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate that CrAg titer may modify the direction of effect of CRP with meningitis-free survival; future studies should account for this interaction.

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