Prognosis of unresected versus resected early‐stage pulmonary carcinoid tumors ≤3 cm in size: A population‐based study

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PURPOSE: The observation-based prognosis, rather than resection, for small carcinoid tumors is still unclear. This lack of clarity has important implications for counseling elderly patients or patients for whom surgical resection poses a high risk. This study compared the outcomes of observation and surgical resection in patients with pulmonary carcinoid (PC) tumors ≤3 cm in size without metastasis. METHODS: Data of patients with PC tumors with ≤3 cm in diameter and without lymph node and distant metastases were retrieved from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. To reduce the inherent bias of retrospective studies, propensity score matching analysis was performed. Overall survival (OS) and lung carcinoid-specific survival (LCSS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier plots. Multivariate analysis was used to determine predictors of LCSS in different size subgroups. RESULTS: In total, 4552 patients with early-stage PCs ≤3 cm in diameter, including 435 (9.56%) who were observed and 4117 (90.44%) treated by surgery, were recruited. Patients with surgery had significantly better OS and LCSS than those who were observed. However, patients with observation had comparable LCSS to those with surgery for PCs with tumor diameters ≤1 cm. Multivariate analysis indicated that surgical resection was an independent prognostic factor for LCSS in 1 cm < tumors ≤2 cm, and 2 cm < tumors ≤3 cm groups, but not for tumors ≤1 cm in diameter. CONCLUSION: Surgical resection of small PCs is associated with a survival advantage over observation. However, for early PCs ≤1 cm in diameter, observation may be considered in patients with high risk for surgical resection.

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