Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic (PBPK/PD) modeling as a tool for antiviral drug dose regimens for COVID-19

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Background and Purpose: Ritonavir-boosted lopinavir and chloroquine were withdrawn for COVID-19 treatment according to WHO recommendation. However, lopinavir is still being used for COVID-19 treatment in a clinical practice guideline without supportive evidence. We demonstrated the utility of physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK)/pharmacodynamic (PD) models to support clinical use of lopinavir and the withdrawal of chloroquine for COVID-19 treatment. Experimental approach: The developed whole-body PBPK models were validated against clinical data. Model validation was performed using acceptable methods. The inhibitory effect (%E) was calculated to demonstrate drug efficacy. The recommended drug regimen for COVID-19 was the combination of 400/100 mg lopinavir/ritonavir given twice daily and 300 mg base chloroquine given twice daily for 14 days. Key Results: This study successfully developed whole-body PBPK models (AAFEs of 1.2-fold). For patients with a 70 kg body weight, %E for chloroquine in epithelial lining fluid (ELF) and bronchial epithelial cells (BEC) were about 2% and 12%, respectively. The corresponding values for lopinavir were 66% and 87.4%, respectively. With the increased body weight to 90 kg, %E for lopinavir in BEC dramatically dropped to lower than 60%, while that in ELF was slightly decreased (86.87%). Conclusion and Implications: The results support the decision of withdrawing chloroquine and using lopinavir in asymptomatic (with positive antigen kit test) or mild COVID-19 cases. In addition, results support the administration of antiviral drugs within the ten days of infection to prevent treatment failure.

Ce résumé expose les affirmations des auteurs. BNTIC ne l’interprète pas comme une validation indépendante des résultats.