Polygenic risk for termination of the ‘healthspan’ and its interactions with lifestyle factors: A prospective cohort study based on 288,359 participants

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OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether a polygenic risk score (PRS) and its interactions with lifestyle factors are associated with termination of the 'healthspan' (the number of years living without serious diseases or degeneration). DESIGN, EXPOSURES AND PARTICIPANTS: Death or the incidence of any of seven independent morbidities (cancer, congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, stroke, dementia, and diabetes) strongly associated with aging were considered to define the termination of the healthspan. A total of 288,359 healthy participants from the UK Biobank were included in this prospective cohort study to evaluate the associations between PRS, lifestyle, and healthspan. The PRS was generated by weighting 12 healthspan-related genetic loci, which and scores were then categorized into three groups in Cox regression models. A lifestyle index was developed that incorporated body mass index (BMI), alcohol consumption, diet, smoking, and physical activity, and these scores were also categorized into three groups. The risk of termination of the healthspan was calculated across the different PRS and lifestyle index groups using Cox regression models. Interactions were estimated with the marginal effect of lifestyle on the risk of termination of healthspan across values of the moderator PRS using kernel estimation. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 9.83 years, 68,903 healthspan-termination events occurred. It was calculated that people with high polygenic risk could reduce their risk of healthspan termination by 40 % if they maintain a favorable lifestyle. The marginal effect of lifestyle on the risk of healthspan termination increased with growing genetic risk. Smoking and diet showed monotonic changes in opposite directions, while BMI, physical activity, and alcohol had a U-shaped interaction with genetic risk. CONCLUSIONS: Favorable lifestyle can attenuate the risk of termination of the healthspan, especially for people with high genetic risk. The improvement afforded by ideal lifestyle behaviors varies for each individual.

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