Landscape of gene mutation in Chinese thyroid cancer patients: Construction and validation of lymph node metastasis prediction model based on clinical features and gene mutation marker

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OBJECTIVES: Reporting the clinicopathological information of thyroid cancer (TC) patients from a central medical center of east China, and constructing the nomogram predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM). METHODS: We collected the patients who underwent thyroid cancer surgery in our institute from July 1, 2019 to July 31, 2021, a total of 253 subjects were enrolled. We used HiPure FFPE DNA Kit to extract DNA and RNApure FFPE Kit to extract RNA from the paraffin sections of tumor tissue, the extracted DNA samples and RNA samples were used for NGS sequencing. The clinical and pathological information of TCGA-THCA cohort was obtained as the validation cohort. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the independent prognostic factor, and the nomogram was subsequently constructed by "rms" R package. RESULTS: Secondary cases contained more mutation of BRAF (90.48% vs. 62.07%) and TERT (33.0% vs. 3.0%), as compared with primary cases. Primary patients with positive lymph node were younger (40.9 ± 10.8 vs. 45.3 ± 11.8, p = 0.0031) and contained advanced TI-RADS levels (4c: 22.8% vs. 8.3%, 5: 6.5% vs. 0/0%, p = 1.878e-03), as well as more RET genetic alteration (16.3% vs. 2.7%, p = 2.566e-03). We chose age, tumor diameter, RET fusion, and gender to construct the LNM predicting nomogram. Calibration plot, DCA curve, and the clinical impact plot verified the preferable prognostic value of the nomogram, with an AUC value of 0.724 (0.656-0.792). We successfully validated the prognostic value of the nomogram in TCGA-THCA cohort. RET fusion might impact the process of protein digestion and absorption, cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction, ECM-receptor interaction, focal adhesion. CONCLUSION: We provide a novel nomogram to predict the LNM for TC patients, including the features of patient's age, gender, tumor diameter, and RET alteration. Further studies from multiple medical centers are essential to validate the nomogram.

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