Serum biomarker panel for disease severity and prognosis in patients with COVID ‐19

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BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) has become a worldwide emergency and has had a severe impact on human health. Inflammatory factors have the potential to either enhance the efficiency of host immune responses or damage the host organs with immune overreaction in COVID-19. Therefore, there is an urgent need to investigate the functions of inflammatory factors and serum markers that participate in disease progression. METHODS: In total, 54 COVID-19 patients were enrolled in this study. Disease severity was evaluated by clinical evaluation, laboratory tests, and computed tomography (CT) scans. Data were collected at: admission, 3-5 days after admission, when severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA detection became negative, and composite endpoint. RESULTS: We found that the positive rate in sputum was three times higher than that in throat swabs. Higher levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), D-dimer (D-D), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) or lower lymphocyte counts suggested more severe disease, and the levels of cytokines and serum markers were intrinsically correlated with disease progression. When SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection became negative, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve demonstrated that LDH had the highest sensitivity independently, and four indicators (NLR, CRP, LDH, and D-D) when combined had the highest sensitivity in distinguishing critically ill patients from mild ones. CONCLUSIONS: Monitoring dynamic changes in NLR, CRP, LDH, IL-6, and D-D levels, combined with CT imaging and viral RNA detection in sputum, could aid in severity evaluation and prognosis prediction and facilitate COVID-19 treatment.

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